Climate Change: 2024 Set to be Hottest Year on Record
European Union Scientists Confirm Record-Breaking Temperatures
BRUSSELS – This year will be the world’s warmest since records began, with extraordinarily high temperatures expected to persist into at least the first few months of 2025, European Union scientists said on Monday.
Global Temperature Records
The data from the EU’s Copernicus Climate Change Service (C3S) comes two weeks after U.N. climate talks yielded a $300-billion deal to tackle climate change, a package poorer countries blasted as insufficient to cover the soaring cost of climate-related disasters. C3S said data from January to November had confirmed 2024 is now certain to be the hottest year on record, and the first in which average global temperatures exceed 1.5 degrees Celsius (2.7 degrees Fahrenheit) above the 1850-1900 pre-industrial period.
Extreme Weather Events
Extreme weather has swept around the world in 2024, with severe drought hitting Italy and South America, fatal floods in Nepal, Sudan, and Europe, heatwaves in Mexico, Mali, and Saudi Arabia that killed thousands, and disastrous cyclones in the U.S. and the Philippines. Scientific studies have confirmed the fingerprints of human-caused climate change on all of these disasters.
Long-term Trend of Warming
"We’re still in near-record-high territory for global temperatures, and that’s likely to stay at least for the next few months," Copernicus climate researcher Julien Nicolas told Reuters. Carbon dioxide emissions from burning fossil fuels are the main cause of climate change. Cutting emissions to net zero – as many governments have pledged to eventually do – will stop global warming from getting worse. Yet despite these green pledges, global CO2 emissions are set to hit a record high this year.
La Nina Weather Pattern
Scientists are also monitoring whether the La Nina weather pattern – which involves the cooling of ocean surface temperatures – could form in 2025. That could briefly cool global temperatures, though it would not halt the long-term underlying trend of warming caused by emissions. The world is currently in neutral conditions, after El Nino – La Nina’s hotter counterpart – ended earlier this year.
Implications for 2025
"While 2025 might be slightly cooler than 2024, if a La Nina event develops, this does not mean temperatures will be ‘safe’ or ‘normal’," said Friederike Otto, a senior lecturer at Imperial College London. "We will still experience high temperatures, resulting in dangerous heatwaves, droughts, wildfires, and tropical cyclones."
Global Temperature Records
C3S’ records go back to 1940, and are cross-checked with global temperature records going back to 1850.
Conclusion
In conclusion, 2024 is set to be the world’s warmest year on record, with extremely high temperatures expected to persist into at least the first few months of 2025. The long-term trend of warming caused by human-induced climate change will continue unless drastic emissions cuts are made.
Frequently Asked Questions
Q: What are the main causes of climate change?
A: The main cause of climate change is carbon dioxide emissions from burning fossil fuels.
Q: What will happen if emissions are cut to net zero?
A: Cutting emissions to net zero will stop global warming from getting worse.
Q: Can La Nina cool global temperatures?
A: Yes, La Nina could briefly cool global temperatures, but it would not halt the long-term underlying trend of warming caused by emissions.