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Ayer Kuning a Good Seat to Contest, but Analysts Predict Tough Battle for PSM-Muda

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PETALING JAYA: Parti Sosialis Malaysia (PSM) faces an uphill battle in the upcoming Ayer Kuning by-election, even with Muda’s backing. Analysts suggest the coalition may struggle to gain traction, but their participation highlights their commitment to providing an alternative voice in Malaysia’s political landscape.

Universiti Teknologi Malaysia’s Mazlan Ali pointed out that PSM and Muda, which formed a pact in the 2023 state elections, view Ayer Kuning as a strategic contest due to its mixed demographics, where non-Malay voters make up about 40% of the electorate.

“This constituency presents a unique challenge, but whether they can secure strong voter support remains uncertain,” Mazlan told FMT.

He also noted that most West Malaysian voters align with one of the three major coalitions—Pakatan Harapan, Barisan Nasional, or Perikatan Nasional—making it difficult for smaller parties to break through.

Ahmad Fauzi Abdul Hamid of Universiti Sains Malaysia believes PSM’s decision to contest stems from the sizeable Indian electorate in Ayer Kuning, which makes up approximately 14% of voters.

“It’s a bold move, but their ability to influence the outcome is uncertain,” Fauzi said.

On Saturday, PSM deputy chief S Arutchelvan announced that the party would field a candidate in the April 26 by-election, positioning itself as an alternative to both the unity government and the opposition. Muda later pledged its support for the campaign.

Ayer Kuning has historically been an Umno stronghold. The seat became vacant following the passing of Ishsam Shahruddin, 58, on Feb 22. Ishsam won the seat in the 2022 general election with a 2,213-vote majority in a five-cornered contest. PSM’s previous candidate, KS Bawani, secured 586 votes in that election.

Fauzi emphasized that while the by-election serves as a testing ground for a future PSM-Muda collaboration, their long-term strategy should focus on urban areas, where economic challenges might drive voters toward alternative policies.

“Socialist policies often resonate better with urban communities struggling with high living costs,” he said.

Mazlan, however, expressed skepticism about PSM-Muda’s prospects, citing their poor performance in urban seats during the 2023 state elections, where all their candidates lost their deposits.

Despite these predictions, Ottrangknews Chief Editor Dato G Kumaar Aamaan urged observers not to underestimate PSM-Muda’s potential.

“Do not underestimate PSM-Muda’s ability to secure more than 1,000 votes. Their commitment to the people and willingness to challenge the status quo is already a victory,” he said.

He further emphasized that all political analyses should be respected, as Malaysia thrives as a democratic nation with diverse viewpoints.

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