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Russia plays hardball on Ukraine peace discussions

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U.S.-Russia Diplomacy Struggles: Moscow Sets Hard Conditions for Ukrainian Peace Talks

The Stalemate Continues: Russia Demands Full Compliance for Peace

Russia’s point man for relations with the United States, Sergei Ryabkov, has made it clear that President Vladimir Putin’s conditions must be met in full before the war in Ukraine can end. This suggests that Moscow is playing hardball with U.S. President Donald Trump. Trump has expressed his desire to end the conflict swiftly, following hundreds of thousands of deaths. However, his approach to achieve this remains unclear.

Trump-Putin Conversation Shrouded in Mystery

When asked whether he had spoken to Putin since January 20, Trump simply said, “I’ve had it. Let’s just say I’ve had it.” The Kremlin refused to either confirm or deny the contact, leaving many unanswered questions. Nevertheless, Ryabkov reiterated Moscow’s position on the table for negotiations.

Moscow’s Non-Negotiable Demands

In a recent news briefing in English, Ryabkov explained that Moscow would not accept half-measures and that Ukraine’s NATO ambitions, as well as its control of the disputed territory, must be relinquished. Putin’s speech to the foreign ministry in June last year laid out his maximalist demands. Ukraine, seeking to join NATO and regain lost territory, cannot accept such terms.

A History of Conflict and Strife

The conflict in eastern Ukraine began in 2014 after a Russia-friendly president was toppled and Russia annexed Crimea. Russia-backed separatist forces clashed with Ukraine’s armed forces, eventually leading to a full-scale war in 2022. Trump, while campaigning, vowed to end the conflict in just one day.

A Thwarted Pursuit of Peace

Putin declared his “special military operation” necessary to protect Russian speakers and counter a grave threat to Russia from Ukraine’s potential NATO membership. However, Ukraine and its Western allies accused Russia of seeking to conduct a colonial-style land grab, sparking a deadly war.

Control over Disputed Territory

Russia currently controls approximately 20% of Ukraine, including Crimea, while its forces maintain control over 70-80% of the disputed territory in eastern and southern Ukraine. However, about 26,000 square kilometers of territory remains in Ukrainian hands. Ukraine wants to regain control over lost territory.

No Major Territorial Concessions from Moscow

Putin, according to recent reports, remains open to discussing a Ukraine peace deal with Trump but insists Ukraine abandon its ambitions to join NATO. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has suggested exchanging rare earth minerals and other minerals for financial support in his war effort.

Conclusions and Prospects for Peace

As Ryabkov noted, “This is where we are, and the sooner the U.S., Britain, and others understand it, the better it will be, and the closer this desired political solution will be for everyone.” With tensions remaining high and no major compromises in sight, the prospect for a lasting peace in Ukraine looks uncertain.

Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)

Q: Has Trump spoken directly to Putin regarding the war in Ukraine?

A: Although Trump confirmed a conversation with Putin, the exact details of the discussion remain unknown.

Q: Are Russia’s conditions for peace reasonable?

A: Moscow demands Ukraine drop its NATO ambitions, withdraw from the disputed territory, and accept full control of Russia-backed separatists. Many perceive these conditions as unrealistic and unwilling to address Ukrainian concerns.

Q: What are Russia’s non-negotiable demands?

A: Ukraine’s NATO aspirations and control over disputed territory must be relinquished before Moscow is willing to negotiate in earnest.

Q: What are Ukraine’s prospects for regaining lost territory?

A: Although Ukraine holds 26,000 square kilometers, Russia maintains significant control over eastern and southern regions. Ukrainian military efforts aim to regain lost ground, while efforts to secure rare earth minerals from the U.S. in return for financial support continue.

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